New Risk Calculator Accurately Predicts Mortality in Transfer Cases

A novel mortality risk calculator has been developed for “unseen” emergency general surgery patients transferred between hospitals. Analyzing 4,664 patients, researchers identified a significant mortality rate of 6.0%. Their model, utilizing 12 key variables, demonstrated excellent predictive performance with an area under the curve of 0.851 and impressive sensitivity of 90%. This tool could enhance patient triage and resource allocation, thereby standardizing care during critical transfers and ultimately improving patient outcomes.