New scoring tool predicts pancreatic fistula risk in surgery

A new preoperative risk score based on CT measurements can help surgeons predict clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (cr-popf) after pancreatoduodenectomy.

  • 6-point score achieved an AUC of 0.89; sensitivity 81.8%, specificity 91.7%.
  • Incidence of cr-popf varies widely: 4.6% in low-risk vs. 82.5% in very high-risk patients.

Use this scoring system for better surgical planning and targeted prevention strategies.

  • Key risk factors include pancreatic attenuation ≤30 Hounsfield units, duct-to-parenchyma ratio ≤0.2, duct diameter <3mm, and BMI ≥25 kg/m².

Journal Article by Usenko O, Symonov O, Prysyazhnyuk E and Pavliuk R in J Gastrointest Surg

Copyright © 2025 Society for Surgery of the Alimentary Tract. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

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