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Risk Calculator Didn’t Change Surgeons’ IPMN Decisions

A study found that a risk calculator had no significant impact on surgeons’ decisions regarding surveillance for low-risk pancreatic intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs).

  • Clinicians’ estimated likelihood of progression remained unchanged (88% vs. 89% for vignettes).
  • Recommendation to continue surveillance did not significantly differ (57% vs. 41% across scenarios).

Surgeons reported varying cancer risk thresholds, indicating a lack of consensus.

  • Future research is needed to understand why risk calculators are ineffective in altering decision-making.

Journal Article by Sacks GD, Korfage IJ (…) Gonda TA et 2 al. in Ann Surg Oncol

© 2026. Society of Surgical Oncology.

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